Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.528477 0.588126 0.652581 0.727538 0.812481 0.905942 1.016823
2025-03-30 0.426146 0.506198 0.599365 0.716368 0.860163 1.032110 1.254775
2025-04-06 0.370782 0.459684 0.568359 0.712075 0.898764 1.135290 1.461180
2025-04-13 0.320545 0.410750 0.525301 0.683066 0.897238 1.181510 1.593523
2025-04-20 0.295122 0.389461 0.513419 0.690517 0.940795 1.287555 1.814458
2025-04-27 0.274582 0.371881 0.503652 0.698186 0.983256 1.393959 2.045789
2025-05-04 0.256709 0.355857 0.493833 0.703679 1.021552 1.496325 2.281045
2025-05-11 0.240312 0.340207 0.482698 0.705379 1.053150 1.590252 2.512406
2025-05-18 0.227890 0.329083 0.476836 0.713796 1.094861 1.702725 2.785822
2025-05-25 0.210675 0.309404 0.456462 0.697611 1.095351 1.747932 2.949217
2025-06-01 0.201779 0.301572 0.453330 0.708039 1.139483 1.868788 3.258851
2025-06-08 0.190154 0.288613 0.441108 0.702396 1.155636 1.942604 3.490646
2025-06-15 0.181827 0.280464 0.436200 0.708919 1.194079 2.060940 3.825050
2025-06-22 0.170918 0.267445 0.422481 0.699323 1.203137 2.126991 4.066323
2025-06-29 0.162049 0.257129 0.412413 0.695055 1.221071 2.210766 4.353697
2025-07-06 0.149619 0.240104 0.389902 0.666841 1.191783 2.200602 4.441796
2025-07-13 0.144394 0.234892 0.387180 0.674090 1.230203 2.326978 4.841943
2025-07-20 0.139586 0.230065 0.384745 0.681550 1.269501 2.458922 5.273039
2025-07-27 0.134782 0.224931 0.381381 0.686894 1.304892 2.586214 5.711644
2025-08-03 0.129756 0.219091 0.376341 0.688548 1.332765 2.700186 6.134957
2025-08-10 0.126001 0.215292 0.374747 0.696736 1.374835 2.849484 6.668333
2025-08-17 0.119209 0.205600 0.361641 0.680991 1.364533 2.880095 6.902429
2025-08-24 0.116280 0.202838 0.361357 0.691136 1.411178 3.046229 7.519825